30.10.06

1191) Clouds over the Caucasus

While we await the Iranian or Syrian crisis, the Caucasus problem has appeared on our northeastern border. This well-known powder keg is again going to explode.

Georgia's close relations with the U.S. and its aspirations to join NATO have irritated Russia. Our neighbor is also trying to dominate three national enclaves inside its territory -- Ajaria, South Ossetia and Abkhazia. . .

The system of national administrative territories was founded by Lenin and aided by Moscow's dominance of satellite countries. For example, an Armenian-dominated enclave (Nagorno-Karabakh) was established inside Azerbaijan.

An Azeri-dominated enclave (Nakhichevan) was founded inside Armenia. Whenever any problem arose between the enclave and the main state, they had to go to Moscow to solve it.

Georgians have three enclaves in their territory. Georgian rule is not effective enough to control these areas. Now Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili wants to control them. But Russian President Vladimir Putin thinks that the Georgian drive is actually a game to open a corridor inside Central Asia's oil and natural gas resources to serve American interests.

In addition to that, Tbilisi arrested four Russian officers on espionage charges on Sept. 27. The four were later released and handed over to the Russian side.
In retaliation, the Russians started to oppress Georgian people legally or illegally living inside Russia. There are many reports that Georgians in Russia are encountering difficulties in their daily lives, as the Moscow-Tbilisi dispute is escalating. Shops belonging to ethnic Georgians have shut down.

The shop owners are closing up themselves, as daily visits by tax officials and health inspectors have become unbearable.

Moscow has cut off all air, land, sea and postal links with its southern neighbor. It has also imposed restrictions on bank transfers. Some 130 illegal migrants from Georgia were deported, and around 700 Georgian citizens have left the Russian capital. Deportation flights of Georgians continue. People are being detained on the street and taken to one of eight special stations set up in Moscow.

The Russian-Georgian conflict has also affected migrants from other parts of the South Caucasus like Azerbaijanis.

Russia shows no signs of wishing to lift its sanctions against Georgia in the near future. "The release of our officers does not mean a reversal of Georgia's deliberate anti-Russian policy," Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov told foreign journalists. "And there's not yet a good reason for us to reconsider our actions."
This dispute will also affect Turkey. Not only because of the fact that we have Abkhaz and Georgian minorities and these developments affect them, but also the Black Sea alternative that we should take in hand against the European drive is at stake.

Recep Guvelioglu

rguvelioglu@thenewanatolian.com
30 October 2006
©2006 The New Anatolian

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29.10.06

1190) What Illegal Armenian Workers Remind Us

. .
Wishing to protect the “genocide” lie with a law, France keeps insisting on its hostile attitude. The bill was passed in the French parliament yesterday. The next step is the Senate, and Turkey is now discussing what should be done about the bill.

One of the suggestions put forward is to deport illegal Armenian citizens, estimated to be 40,000-70,000, who are working in Turkey. This issue, that had not been discussed very much previously, flared up after the French parliament began discussing a bill to penalize those who deny the events of 1915 as genocide.

It is hard to understand why the illegal immigration issue had been disregarded until now, despite a systematic campaign to portray Turks as perpetrators of the so-called Armenian genocide and France trying to distort history through political means. Now we are rightly asking why this issue of illegal employment has been overlooked when it is extremely difficult for our citizens to find a job. However, there are also some who think these poor workers should not be disturbed.

The truth is that Turkey is facing serious illegal labor problems. The problem is not only limited to Armenians. Many people from neighboring countries come to Turkey and work in all kinds of businesses. Coming as tourists, workers from Eastern Europe, the Middle East and some Asian countries usually work in small and middle-size enterprises, particularly in construction, molding and casting, leather, textiles, plastic, agriculture, shipping, loading and unloading, cleaning, sales and the hotel industry.

Because they work illegally, they earn very low wages under difficult conditions and may be exploited. Apart from these workers, other illegal aliens are engaged in prostitution, smuggling and drugs.

Turkey began to import labor officially after 1960, but the country first confronted the inflow of illegal labor on a large scale after the disintegration of the USSR. Today, illegal immigration has reached huge dimensions. These people come to Turkey as tourists with a one-month or three-month visa but do not return to their respective countries. Some renew their visas and continue business as usual. Others enter Turkey illegally.

Nobody knows the exact number of illegal workers in Turkey but it is estimated to be one million. The most noteworthy report on this issue is the one prepared by the Turkish Labor and Social Security Ministry, entitled “Informal Employment and Employment of Illegal Foreign Workers.” The following lines attract attention in the 2004 report: “As no clear data could be obtained on the number of illegal foreign workers in our country, there is no official figure on the anticipated extent of illegal foreign employment in Turkey. Nonetheless, it is estimated that illegal foreign employment in Turkey has reached very serious dimensions, and the numbers are clearly in the hundreds of thousands.” This figure is estimated to be between 500,000 and one million, according to the Confederation of Turkish Trade Unions, the report said.

Even though the dimension and the damage caused by illegal foreign employment cannot be fully determined, ordinary citizens living or spending their holidays, particularly in Istanbul and tourist regions, can clearly see the scope and negative effects of illegal labor.

We all know that unemployment is one of Turkey’s biggest problems today. With 2.2 million people currently out of work, our unemployment rate stands at 8.8 percent.

Illegal foreign workers employed for low salaries do not only increase the number of unemployed Turkish citizens but also decrease revenue for insurance premiums and taxes. Another dimension of the issue is the transfer of income. We think many foreigners registered as tourists bring foreign currency to the country but in fact it is just the opposite. Even if we calculate on the basis that every illegal worker transfers an average of $1,000 a year -- at least -- to his country, the total amount is around $1 billion.

Even Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC) fines Turks working illegally in the country and returns them to Turkey. Does Turkey, which should give priority to its own unemployed citizens, have the luxury of disregarding a million illegal foreign workers?

KADIR DIKBAS
10.14.2006
e-mail:k.dikbas@zaman.com.tr

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1189) Is it Possible to be both a Writer and Apolitical in Turkey?

If you have dedicated your life to writing, being an author in Turkey means being “public” or “political” whether you want to or not. Assume that as a writer you want to be neither public nor political. In fact, you’re anti-social. You want to withdraw into your shell and do nothing but write. Let it be. . .

You can’t remain in your shell. This country both politicizes and publicizes its writers, sometimes in spite of them. Consequently, instead of from an artistic perspective, a writer always looks through a “social perception” magnifying glass under the light of the ups and downs of internal policies. Our literary environment is focused on the writer, not the work. For this reason, even when authors are being evaluated, the individuals are talked about directly rather than their manuscripts or books. Grades are given according to their appearances, speech and even photographs. I said grade, but the evaluation is at one extreme or the other. The writer is either exalted or smashed to the ground. Writers are favored like football teams. Either you’re for or against them. You either totally support them or totally oppose them. Because our thought system is absolute, we don’t permit the possibility of not liking one work of an author, but very much liking another one of his works. Either we totally like something or totally reject it.

When evaluating a writer in this country, almost all factors are looked at except the most basic one – the writer’s capability to write. All in all, how many read books with passion, loyalty, excitement and persistence? At any rate, as a people we like to talk about politics rather than books. It’s both easier and less trouble. In order to talk about a book, you have to go to the trouble of getting it and reading it, thinking solitarily about it, and concentrating on brand new topics. Politics, however, is a free firing range. No money, no trouble! A course where everyone can comfortably say everything. Consequently, while discussing writers, we never take the trouble to go to the “art and literature” lanes where they are nor feel the necessity to examine their works. Instead, we pull authors out or their fields and force them into the political arena. There it’s chaos anyway. Beat them as much as you can beat them. In this country its one thing we do well.

In Turkey writers don’t have the luxury of being apolitical. Whether you like it or not, this country politicizes writers. Plus, this isn’t done drop by drop, but very rapidly in big strides.

Because politics comes before literature this much, Turkey is a place where you can form an opinion about a writer without reading his books. So much so that people have very fixed opinions on authors that they have never even read. Many readers don’t hesitate to evaluate an author from whom they haven’t read even a single line. This is a country where you can easily hear sentences like “I’ve never read him\her, but I think he\she is a good writer...” Turkey is a place where writers are not evaluated on their work, but on their public identities. In this situation you get on the agenda with your politics rather than your literature and you are remembered like this. No one has the time or intention to read literature. The real readers of literature number only a handful. The uproar of politics is so loud that it suppresses the voice of literature.

This is a “separation of identity” that I frequently experience in my America-Turkey travels. In interviews in the Unites States, questions about art and literature are usually asked. In Turkey, the questions are about politics! In the U.S. both the readers and journalists doing the interviewing establish a relationship with authors basically focused on the work. With us it’s usually everything but the work! That which is lost in the commotion is always literature and the books, novels and works that have taken a lifetime.

ELIF SAFAK
10.18.2006
e.safak@zaman.com.tr

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1188) Media Scanner Oct 2006 (134+ Items)

  1. Turkey's 'Democratic' woes
  2. Ankara set to get bad grades on reform pace
  3. WEEK IN REVIEW
  4. Freedom streets
  5. Museum honoring Atatürk chronicles birth of the Turkish nation
  6. Letters to the editor
  7. TÜSİAD invites Armenian businessmen to Istanbul
  8. Turkish businessmen invite Armenian counterparts to Istanbul
  9. French Radio Halts Broadcasting in Turkish
  10. Is Turkey's EU Bid Becoming a Mirage?
  11. EU's only Plan for Turkey is Membership
  12. How the Turkish Parliament Should React to France
  13. Czeck MP Calls French Bill 'Unfortunate and Inappropriate'
  14. Freedom of expression and the European Union by Graham Watson
  15. Pamuk is not invited for the October 29
  16. Schiff: High Time That We as Nation Recognize Armenian Genocide
  17. TURKEY NOT READY TO BE MORE VIRTUOUS -Opinion By Gohar Gevorgian
  18. French Senate against Armenian Genocide Bill?
  19. Armen Darbinyan: «We Want Turks to Become Better»
  20. Letter to the Editor: The Globe and Mail (Canada) From: AYDEMIR ERMAN, Turkish ambassador, Ottawa
  21. Milan Officially Recognized Armenian Genocide
  22. Aliev Says Armenian Genocide A 'Fantasy'
  23. Pamuk Invited for Speech on Armenian Genocide at European Parliament
  24. Hrant Dink: “An idiotic law”
  25. Europe Will Not Swallow Islamic State with 80-Million Population
  26. The Undemocratic And Unfair Behavior Of Pbs Network Stations Against Turks
  27. French Played Volleyball On Rwandan Genocide Grave
  28. Rwanda Mp Says 'France Abetted Genocide'
  29. Ethnic Armenian Set To Join European Commission
  30. Armenian daily attacks Mutafyan:
  31. Romania designates senator of Armenian origin for EU job:
  32. An Open Letter to Orhan Pamuk
  33. Mehmet Yilmaz: The last thing the Armenians want is a debate
  34. 62 Percent Of Armenians Think That The Country Is On The Wrong Track: Gallup Survey
  35. Nancy Pelosi: It Is Imperative That Us Recognize Armenian Genocide
  36. Turkey's Attitude Towards So-called Armenian Genocide Is More European Than France's, Babacan
  37. Turkish Women Mps Send Letter To Dutch Mp
  38. The Guide Of Istanbul Accuses French Politicians And Journalists
  39. Armenian-Turkish Exhibition Opened In "Moscow" Cinema
  40. France Maneuvers And Gives Armenia Some Time To Prepare
  41. M.F.A.: States' Reliability Depends On Their Standing By Values They Advocate
  42. Tan: We Hope French Authorities To Reject It
  43. Paris Court Of Appeals Adjourns Its Verdict On Sezgin Case
  44. Ambassador Of Sweden In Ankara Asp In Mersin
  45. Turkey's Attitude Towards So-Called Armenian Genocide Is More European Than France's, Babacan
  46. Turkish Business World's Reaction To France
  47. France Made A Great Mistake, Tusiad
  48. Decision Would Affect Cultural Dialogue, Prof. Dumont
  49. Resolution Has Not Been Legalized Yet, Poudade
  50. Reactions To Adoption Of Draft Law By France
  51. Turkish Prime Ministry Condemns Adoption Of French Resolution
  52. Gul On French Resolution & Orhan Pamuk
  53. Turkish Business Delegation In France
  54. Turkey's Allies Are Common Sense And Freedom Of Expression
  55. Senate Group Head: "We Will Not Approve It"
  56. France Writhing In Pain
  57. French Ambassador's Statement Criticized In Turkey
  58. "Zerkalo": "Punishment For Genocide" - Expensive Pleasure
  59. Paris Court Postpones Genocide Denial Case 2nd Time
  60. Hisarciklioglu On French Resolution
  61. Dokurcum Mill, Silent Witness Of Massacre
  62. Turkish - French Economic Relations
  63. Turkish People Do Not Believe In Friendship Of Neighbors
  64. French Ambassador's Goodbye Lesson Or Cold Shower For Armenian Diplomacy
  65. 500 Million Dollars Of Boycott On French Products
  66. So-Called Armenian Genocide: Protests In Front Of French Embassy
  67. French Companies Fear Losing Turkish Market
  68. Mumcu: Both The Inventor And Perpetrator Of Genocide Claims Is The West
  69. Felicity Party Launches Boycott Campaign Against French Products
  70. Turkish Deputies Object To Algerian Genocide Proposal
  71. Turkey, France: French Firms Set To Suffer From Turkish Anger Over 'Genocide' Bill
  72. Georgian Prime Minister: "We Feel Very Comfortable With Turkey"
  73. "Armenian Genocide" Film To Be Shown In Brussels December 13
  74. Turkey Returns To The East
  75. Debate Needed; What Happened In Armenia?
  76. Ottawa to soothe Turks angry over 'genocide' tag
  77. Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research Azerbaijan Best, France Worst for Turks
  78. Turkish Associations In France Reacts To Bill On So-called Armenian Genocide
  79. Turkish MPs Announce 'Shame List'
  80. Turks in France Self-Critical over Armenian Bill
  81. Ambassador's Genocide Denial Case Delayed
  82. 'Thousands of Armenians Converted to Islam'
  83. Paris Court Postpones Genocide Denial case 2nd time
  84. Benefits of waiting
  85. Accusations Of French Genocide Against Algerians
  86. Decision Would Affect Cultural Dialogue, Prof. Dumont
  87. Rwanda: France Played An Active Role In 1994 Genocide
  88. Warm Ties With The Diaspora
  89. If Our Ambassador To Paris Had Been Armenian?
  90. Chirac Did Not Promise Erdogan To Intervene In Armenian Genocide Bill Adoption
  91. Oskanian: Armenia Not Going To Corner Turkey
  92. Turkish Parliament to List Europe's Massacres
  93. Mr. Erdogan's Turkey
  94. The Right to Deny Genocide
  95. French radio RFI cuts Turkish broadcasts
  96. Mesrob II calls for dialogue, mutual respect among Turks, Armenians
  97. Armenian Conference to Discuss Dialogue not Genocide Allegations
  98. KAYSERI - Plenary discussion panel on: ''The Art of Living Together in the Ottoman Society: The Case of Turkish-Armenian Relations''
  99. Turkey: No opening border with Armenia before normalization of relations
  100. Armenian Woman Sends Grandchild to Turkish School
  101. French Consulate Door in Turkey - Best Photo  of the Month French Consulate Door in Turkey Best Photo of the Month?
  102. Austrian Turkish Candidate Stigmatized for 'Genocide' Denial
  103. Sweden Says History is Job of Historians
  104. Canada Backs Joint Committee for Armenian Claims
  105. US Urges France to Promote Discussion
  106. EU: Don't compare apples with pears on Article 301
  107. Poll: 58 percent of French oppose Turkish EU entry:
  108. US criticizes France’s ‘genocide’ bill
  109. EU envoy urges Turkey to act on free speech
  110. Armenian discussions again...
  111. Baykal: "No One Has The Right To Allege Turkey Committed A Genocide On Armenians"
  112. A prize affair Orhan Pamuk, the French parliament and the Armenian massacres
  113. Troubles ahead There may be serious fall-out from Turkey's present poor relationship with both the European Union and America
  114. The bill has no future French Ambassador to Ankara, Paul Poudade spoke about the future of the 'genocide denial bill' approved at the French Parliament last week.
  115. Turks to File over 6,000 'Genocide' Lawsuits
  116. Solve possible crises by adopting long-term strategies or using intelligence and know-how.
  117. Armenian Genocide: Turkish University to Send Millions Appeals to European Court
  118. A Bold Message, Lost On Turkey
  119. 'The So-Called Blockade Against The So-Called Genocide'
  120. Georgia confident on fate of regional railway
  121. Turkish-Armenian reconciliation is not far away
  122. "We Must Debate 1915 Ourselves"
  123. Exploiting "Genocide" to Cut Turkey from EU
  124. "History Requires Conscience Not Law"
  125. "Respond France by Promoting Freedoms"
  126. V.Oskanian Touches Upon Role And Problems Of Armenian Diaspora At Toronto International Conference Toronto
  127. Perversion
  128. French Against Turks: Talking About Armenian Genocide
  129. 'We Consider The Benefits Of Our Country In Relations With Our French Partners'
  130. French Law To Recognise Armenian Genocide Criticised
  131. DYER’S POINT -Keeping Turkey Out
  132. Is The West Losing Turkey?
  133. Fake Compassion Of Europe's Right-Wing: Armenian Genocide
  134. 'U.S. Governments Never Described The Events Of 1915 As Genocide'
  135. Dutch Labor Party Regrets Excluding Turks from List
. .

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1187) Every Friday, 40 women from Vanadzor take a bus to Turkey. Half of them do not return

A panel said Armenia has a human trafficking problem

Some of the women become victims of human trafficking there, according to the President of the Association of Audio-Visual Journalists Arzuman Harutyunyan. As part of a Trafficking Awareness Campaign program he uses a special information web portal, to raise public awareness of the issue. (see www.antitrafficking.info) . .

A panel said Armenia has a human trafficking problem
Stepan Vardanyants, chief of the Second Division of the Police Department against Organized Crime, says that the real number of Armenians who are trafficked in Turkey is being hidden for political reasons.

Numerous investigations in recent years have shown that, for purposes of sexual exploitation, women from Armenia are mainly taken to Turkey and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), while labor exploitation mainly occurs in Russia.

According to the Armenian Embassy in the UAE, only a few dozen Armenian women are currently being subjected to sexual exploitation in that country. Others say the true figure is far higher.

A “well-paid job” is very often the bait used to persuade women in difficult social situations to travel abroad. State and independent representatives who are waging a struggle against trafficking avoid citing specific trafficking figures for Armenia, relying instead on the number of court cases involving this crime.

In the first nine months of 2006, 33 criminal cases were instituted in Armenia in connection with sexual and labor exploitation of people, of which nine were under Article 132 of the Penal Code – a new law that provides for prison sentences of between four and six years.

This article is one of the steps taken by Armenia to combat human trafficking in recent years, along with other measures such as raising public awareness and bringing national legislation into line with international standards.

The reform, along with grants and programs to reduce trafficking, were largely the product of the 2002 U.S. Department of State Trafficking in Persons report to Congress.

According to the 2002 report, Armenia ranked among the third-class of countries in tackling the problem. This meant that trafficking was not given sufficient attention by the Government and the sphere was completely uncontrolled.

“The government failed to vigorously investigate and prosecute ongoing and widespread allegations of public officials' complicity in trafficking,” the report of the U.S. Department of State reads.

“Accusatory and tactless attitudes towards trafficking victims continue to remain problematic among officials in Armenia, especially in the judiciary.”

In reply to this report, Armenia’s Prime Minister ordered an interdepartmental commission to study the trafficking problem and make proposals to address it.

“There is no country in the world that can boast of having completely solved the problem of trafficking. But the US Government is concerned over the state of the anti-trafficking struggle in Armenia, as Armenia is in our list of second-level countries, with a risk of joining the third level countries,” said Julie Finley, the US Ambassador to the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe, during discussions in Yerevan this week on national strategies and action plans to combat trafficking.

However, members of the interdepartmental commission say the program will help to “control” the problem.

Experts say within the scope of the program, continuous works will be carried out to raise public awareness of the problem.

Specialists working at different ministries and structures involved in the fight against trafficking will have a chance to get training. Besides, plans are being made to improve migration policy and legislation.

“Armenia is in the leading position in the region as far as the struggle against trafficking is concerned, since in neighboring Georgia and Azerbaijan they haven’t even accomplished legislative reforms yet,” the Interdepartmental Anti-Trafficking Commission Chairman Valery Mkrtumyan says.

The governments of Norway and the Netherlands allocated to Armenia a grant of $650,000 for anti-trafficking reforms, legislation, awareness programs, as well as for a telephone hotline service in 2004-2006.

Specialists in the field say that another $1 million will be necessary for the development and implementation of a second program for 2007-2009 that would make efforts to tackle the problem more apparent.

Marianna Grigoryan & Sara Khojoyan
ArmeniaNow reporters

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27.10.06

1186) US Army Special Warfare, 1941-1952, Origins - Psychological & Unconventional Warfare by Paddock




. .

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1185) Countering Terrorism In Late 198os And 199os Future Threats And Opportunities For US By Dr Stephen Sloan

Senior Associate
Booz, Allen and Hamilton Inc.
Air University
Maxwell Air Force Base, Alabama

August 1987, Scanned Copy Sep 2001

ABSTRACT

Although terrorism has been practiced since before the dawn of recorded history, It has never constituted the worldwide threat it does today. The proliferation of anus and the very real potential for nuclear terrorism combine with immediate worldwide mobility and highly sophisticated technology to put terrorism near the top of threats that must be effectively countered.

Some terrorist groups practice local terrorism, others practice International terrorism. The United States has its own terrorist groups; for example, the Armed Farces of Puerto Rican Liberation (FALN), the Black Liberation Army, and the Jewish Defense League. And it is probable that spillover from the Middle East will reach the United States. But the greatest danger may well be from new extremist groups. One group that .Is .ripe. for such development is that of Central and South American immigrants for whom the .American Dream. seems impossibly remote; and there is reason to believe that the Cuban intelligence service will continue to promote terrorist group development here.

Alternatives for countering terrorism will depend on the group.s organization and operation, the need for a counterterrorist cadre, the need for psychological operations, and the need for integration of counterterrorism efforts. . .


Please Download The Full Document:
Countering Terrorism In Late 198os 199os Future Threats And Opportunities For US.pdf

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1184) It has always the Armenians outside of Turkey like Murad Muradian, cause all the disasters

Murad Muradian, lives in USA, probably, has a nice home, 2 or 3 cars, nothing to worry about, as long as he wags his tail in such articles.



It has “always been the Armenians outside of Turkey, who claimed to save their brethren in Turkey and caused all the disasters, when “they were the elite class of the Ottoman Empire”. The Turkish citizen Armenians, may not be as rich as the ones in USA or France, but “nearly all that I meet” have a higher class income, comfort of living and sharing life with neighbors, friends regardless of religion or ethnicity. Persons like Muradian or Aznavour, who find the authority in themselves, to say what is just-ethic, and right for others, must first look into the mirror or their own yard, before shoveling their dirty thoughts and evil evaluations. Let me tell you what one would reply to this bigoted person, in ones own knowledge. (It is not a pleasure to debate with such fanatics, breathing hate only)

1- It is clear that the outsider Armenians are jealous of the Turkish Armenians, and poke their nose and fingers to distort their comfort and cause a wedge in their happy lives. There are Turkish Armenians that go abroad for better life, (mostly marriages), and soon learn that there is another hostile Armenia and it takes time for them to adjust, but they have to give in, because of Church, Social, Tashnak and other relations. Nevertheless, Turkish Armenians are free and do travel and visit their relatives in all countries, and welcome the visits of those from abroad, including democratic (!) Armenia.


Now, what guys like Murad or Dink are trying to do, is to provoke and insult Turks, so that they would put hands on anything that is Armenian - like anything that is Turk, is deeply hated by Armenians -like Muradian. We find deep happiness “by not hating any Armenians, but feeling pity for those who need a psychological shake up and courage to face the realities and not hide beyond EU, France or Super Powers, who used and are using Armenians, in return to their superficial support. If Muradian is so sure, why he does not have the courage to sit, show his evidences and see the counter evidences ? He has to believe in Karekin’s STATE CHURCH, because without this “book – man – made” holy support, he would be like the naked KingI.

2- What gives the right to Murad to comment on the relations between Turkey and EU (unless he ducks behind) and blackmail Turkey? Is he a Turkish citizen ? If he was a member of EU, he could have offered a referendum. This is typical of aggression habit, derived by ignorance and non-respect for others. Do you have the courage to sit at the table and debate about the correctness of all your fabricated stories and fake references?

3- Tthe news about the swindling of AGBU of Istanbul Patriarchate of their real estate properties in Cyprus, which they stole. Court case is going on in Paris. Is Muradian aware? Remind him!

4- What Muradian is trying to “at least achieve” is to raise dust so Turks deport to Armenia (against their desire) some 70.000 illegal Armenian citizens, earning some bread money to send back home. Is Muradian going to feed them or ANCA – ANCHA etc. find “as much money as they spend on lobbies”? What makes Jack Chirac such an arbiter or reputation? His cheap hypocrisy or ridiculous and shameless speeches?

5- Mutafian is trusted and liked by his Gregorian community! We are used to the slanders mostly of Protestant or Catholic Armenians (not even 10% of the total) which use religion to separate people. Ask Muradian!. How many non-Catholic Armenians, were accepted to France or non-Protestants were accepted in USA ? Don’t use “only the Armenian ethnicity” to authorize you to speak for Turkish Armenians mostly Gregorian. Does Muradian know that there are more open Armenian Churches in Turkey for 80.000 then there are in Armenia for 2.5 millions?

6- Regarding Turkey’s intended invasion of Iraq, it will become a right, if they keep those PKK terrorists sabotaging civilian life in Turkey! What right did Armenia had to attack and occupy 20% of Nogorno Karabag commit genocide at Hotcha-Ali, deport 1 million people living in shacks since then? Armenia surrendered bases to Russia (unfriendly to USA and France) and got in return 1 billion Dollar worth of Arms (not provisions or investments) for the poverty stricken Armenian majority !

Result: Even a stupid can see all the paradoxes in this article!



Sukru Server Aya


ARCHBISHOP MUTAFIAN, AGAIN TURKEY´S SPOKESPERSON
It is hard to figure out if Archbishop Mesrob Mutafian, Patriarch of Istanbul, is running scared of the Turks for whom he obviously has deep affection, or whether he simply opposes anything favorable for Armenia and Armenians in general.

What is galling is the honor he is given in some newspapers as the "leader" of Armenians in Turkey. A leader of Armenians hopefully does not undermine leaders of the Armenian community, Armenian history or friends of Armenia. What the Turkey-fawning Mutafian fails to understand is that his words impact upon Armenians and non-Armenians around the world.

The Turks do not hesitate to splash his comments in international newspapers because Mutafian has become one of the favored Ankara-sponsored spokespersons in the world. Unfortunately, his title receives attention because most persons outside of Turkey do not know him or his style and assume that he really has deep concerns for Armenians and Armenia. It is assumed in too many places that because Mutafian bears an Armenian name that he lives Armenian pain, Armenian hopes and Armenian dreams as verbalized by most Armenians in general.

That he is now a lobbyist for the Turkish government has become very obvious. He has indicated many times that the 1.5 million Armenians slaughtered in the 1915 Genocide share responsibility with the butchers for their own deaths.

Upon the departure from Armenia of French President Jacques Chirac, one of Mutafian's comments as he again kissed the Turkish hand was, "If Armenians did not lead separation actions... at least 10 million Armenians would live in Turkey today." He went on to say that Turkey would win a lot with that population.

It is interesting that he did not profess sorrow for the Genocide of Armenians. His main interest was that Turkey would have gained a lot if the murderers did not butcher the Armenians. It is hard to imagine that any honest person, much less an Armenian clergyman, has the audacity to state that the slaughtered Armenian babies, women, old people, young, sick, etc., were equally responsible with Talaat, Enver, Djemal and Nazim for the 1915 Genocide.

Of course, Mutafian does not have the courage, or perhaps even the belief, to state that 1915 was genocide. Keep in mind that he castigated the Catholicos of All Armenians Karekin II for having done so during the latter's visit to Turkey some weeks ago.

Mutafian objected that Jacques Chirac advanced the Armenian Genocide as a pre-condition for Turkey's entrance into the European Union (EU). Mutafian stated that even if that is what President Chirac wants, "One must not forget that Louis Michael, the minister of Foreign Affairs of Belgium, decisively said that one must not put new political standards before Turkey for membership to the European Union."

Is this person, Mr. Mutafian, supposed to be a religious leader or Turkey's lobbyist? Recalling that he traveled around Europe lobbying European politicians to allow his masters into the EU, he fits the description of a lobbyist. Being a political lobbyist for Turkey, Mr. Mutafian said that Jacques Chirac's comment that "Turkey must recognize the Armenian Genocide for membership to the European Union" might be a "political precept." In his comments to the Turkish press, Mr. Mutafian advanced himself as a spokesperson for the Armenians of Turkey. One wonders who or what gives him the right to say that it would have been preferred if the French president attempted to create dialogue between Armenia and Turkey. For the most part, Armenians to whom I have spoken who were from Istanbul and now live in the US are embarrassed, dislike, or find excuses for the comments made by Mutafian.

The excuses are generally that he is frightened of the repressive government in Turkey and says such things to protect the Armenian flock. My comment usually is, if this is fact, then Mutafian should say nothing outside the realm of being a clergyman. A clergyman does not denigrate proven Armenian/world/genocide history. When anyone says that the slaughtered Armenians were responsible for their own deaths, that is abominable and a disgrace. He has become the David Irving (Holocaust denier) of the Armenian Genocide.

Mutafian's position and spoken words have even more appalling impact than David Irving's books. Mutafian's words were spoken to international outlets and will appear in English, Turkish and German languages, perhaps on TV as well as in written form. I do not blame Mutafian for wanting Turkey in the EU. Perhaps he recognizes that the EU will stick by their demands that Turkey must be a democracy before being allowed into that prestigious body. And if Turkey does become a democracy and is allowed into the EU all citizens of the country will benefit, including the Armenian flock. But it is not necessary for Mutafian to join the Genocide denier club for that to happen.

Mutafian wants Turkey to be able to write its own rules for entrance into the EU instead of Turkey complying with rules set up for Turkey. The Turks object to rules that specifically apply to them. If one of the leading Europeans (Jacques Chirac) wants to satisfy the demands of 400,000 French Armenians and countless non-Armenians in France and Europe for Turkey to recognize 1915 as genocide, it is unseemly for a wannabe Turk like Mutafian to object.

Why is it appropriate to have rules specifically applicable to Turkey to join the EU? Point out another wannabe nation to the EU that has as abysmal a human rights history as Turkey does. What other nation that aspires to the EU currently threatens to invade northern Iraq to get its way, and particularly to get oil that is in short supply? Let us not overlook that Foreign Minister Gul of Turkey threatened to invade northern Iraq because of comments made about Kurds by President Talabani of Iraq.

Perhaps Mutafian has lived so long in Turkey under pressure from the government that he has forgotten what truth and human rights are. One does not have to be an Armenian to understand these things. So much the greater shame for the current Patriarch sitting in Istanbul.

By Murad Muradian, Oct. 14 editorial of The Armenian Mirror Spectator

http://www.azg.am
26.10.2006

Read The Full Post by Clicking Here Read Full Post !

1183) Open Letter by Sukru Server Aya

Istanbul, 26.10.2006


OPEN LETTER


Dear Seda,

I have been stormed with well over hundred pages of your informative news on various subjects, which is impossible to read on the screen. My secretary makes prints and I read them at home when I can spare the time. Having a three day Ramadan holiday, I could go through almost everything, and being a thankful reader for the vast information you have been supplying in one year, I thought that I better make some remarks on few points, so that you can have an exchange of views, to be shared with dedicated readers (like me).

Before elaborating on the recent bulletins and excerpts of articles relating to the French sotê” Denial Law and parallelism(?) with Article 301, I am sorry to note that religion versus logic, is used as a pillar of justification.

As I had confessed earlier, I am an ordinary man, not a writer (who thinks he knows all) or historian (who makes statements without investigating deep and extensive enough), not a philosopher (who lectures ethics but remains silent to the world wide raping of average wisdom), or a scholar (selling his reliability and neutrality) or politician (who surrenders his soul and honor just to be bribed a seat or title, to make him feel superior when truly he is inferior to his fellow citizens). I am just a person like everyone, but in doubt of many things I hear or read…

Ara Baliozian, hit his “balioz” on the right spots of reliability. I would have liked to ask the French lawmakers:

“if I am free to believe or disbelieve, in what is lectured to all mankind, from birth to death, and continuously used as a threat of punishment in today’s and after-life, by all clergy classes, most of which are involved in orgies of interests with Ruling Political Administrations, to such extremities that even gayish relations are accepted as natural, but on the other hand, sharp divisive lines are being drawn by the “status of a penis, if it is circumcised or not, or immersing a baby in some water, declared to be holy or some other rituals, pagan or else, and “all human inventions”. Discrimination of persons and subversion of identities by such criterions, instead of co-existence in peace and harmony, by hardly contribute anything to globalization of same ethical values, versus globalization of free trade, and person’s freedom in his/her preferences or “personal divine interpretations and expectations”.

Within the scope of such a minimal-liberal understanding, what the French Parliamentary Circus and clowns have demonstrated is not o n l y totally rotten, stupid, unjust and unethical but it is cowardish of realities, restricting freedom of expression and research to find the truth… which apparently is their night mare!

A definitely dubious claim, (a tall lie, until it’s truth is proven by an authorized judicial court) is being “hastily smuggled”, punishing persons who dare, “not to agree” with it. In other words, I have the liberty to agree or disagree with holy books, said to be words of God, which are being taught to billions of people in temples, b u t I have to admit a UNIVERSAL LIE, as the ONLY TRUTH… And who decides for that? Any judiciary court or investigation committee of the professionals or an international court where such claims should be taken first? No, a bunch of educated unethical persons, visibly abuse and exceed their limits of duty, just to kiss some hands or feet for few votes… Reading the speech of Devecian, it strikes that his Armenian ethnicity enslaved his French citizen identity. And for those who read some history, such huge exaggerations and illusions are the manna of Dashnak principles, now leased to the French Parliament. An overblown tire, or fabricated lie are bound to blow off, sooner or later…(Even Moliere, could not have imagined such a “mass-stupidity” in his didactic comedies.

Regarding the EU stick and carrot: Too bad that our politicians are too naïve to read and learn, or impotent to do anything against all these humiliations. Why don’t you have the courage to stand up and say that you will have to ask Turkish people (same way some EU countries will ask) if they want to become a humiliated outcast member by name only, or will settle for having less of that “fake carrot which is at the end of the dark tunnel”, but more of our personal values of independence, justice and honor. EU’s “dummy” showcase is already empty, and only “fools will give as much as we do, and be obedient” to all the scolding and injustices… EU does not have to keep their promises… but WE have to! … I am afraid that nearly all cartoons made about Turkey and EU relations are very objective, as much as the other Cartoons insulting a religion or its believers, is an outrageous abuse of “freedom” carried to the extent of “insulting others”. Who is so much happy with the French Bill? Armenia, PKK, Greece and other radicals on the wait list… Unfortunately, Turkish governments have been and are still indifferent, incapable of taking any measures for what was to come in the past four decades…


A very recent survey carried by “MILLIYET” newspaper, shows that the opinion of Turkish people for EU has dramatically changed, such as: Those who do not trust EU, 78%, those who think that pre-conditions will become even harder, 76.5 %, those who think we must definitely enter, 32.2%,, those who say definitely NO is 25.6%, those who say it makes no difference 33%. Turks credit friendliness of Azerbaijan as 71%, Pakistan 47.3%, Iran 29%, Germany 17.7 %, Russia 8.7%, Greece 4.2%, USA 3.6%, Britain 3.2% and France 2.8%. If our present government “which by accident avoided entering Iraq swamp”, now, despite the wish of the people “jump into the EU swamp”, this may be much worse than a train accident, because it is simply drowning in mud!”

Your # 1166: Our Demirel abi, can still talk and give opinions and has the right explanations to save the moment, such as “yesterday was yesterday”, which implies that “today is today” and we should do nothing for “tomorrow’s being tomorrow”… What a great political philosophy, but it doesn’t reply the simple question, such as, , “what have you done during the many times you were the Prime Minister and later President”? Yes, I remember and that “discarded tomorrow” has become the bitter today, because of smart politicians who ‘saved only their days’, not the visible and ‘expected future troubles to follow’…

I have a hunch, after having read Heather S. Gregg’s paper http://web.mit.edu/cis/www/migration/pubs/rrwp/13_divided.pdf that the composers of these orchestrations stay “invisible”, and this “Genocide Muppets Global Show”, is being displayed in several stages of the world and many persons, institutions, writers, historians, debaters, turncoats, butter spreaders and finger lickers, are all characters of the Muppet Shows… Of course, the “players” are rewarded in one way or another, but it is the watching audience dragged by scenarios, who pay! How much of diverse collections, go to right or wrong places, is no one’s business… Just pay, do as you are told, or else???? May be below excerpt from A. Lalayan’s book works out for today also !

<A.A. Lalayan’s P.48: Since the fragments of Tashnaks are addicted to alcohol, gambling, and alike, their need for large sums of money is obvious. “To protect immigrants” was the basic and may be the most important item of the Tashnaksutyun budget. The subject is the following: Tashnak Party, systematically collected donations for their own oblations. A short while ago, Agaronyan had collected in USA a substantial amount, equivalent to 15 million marks. Of course, he did not use this money to even slightly ease the situation of the Armenian refugees. He did not even distribute this money to starving crowds; but further acted unjustly when dividing this spoil with his comrades.


You can now understand the reason behind the smearing campaign led by the unemployed ministers of an unjust and inexistent government against Soviet Russia, the only country solving the immigrant question. The Tashnak ideologists kept alive the “immigrant profile” and included even “dead people’s names” to increase the number of refugees.>

Behind every move there is money…compensation, policies, imaginary bank accounts, etc. etc… I cannot believe that all this struggle is only to “keep the very Christian identity Armenians”, advertised on their victimized bill boards. It looks that only a small portion reaches Armenia and nothing more than propaganda is accomplished in the tiny republic, with a population less than a district of Istanbul.


But let us not forget that the Diaspora Dashnak party goads the puppet Armenian government and dictatorial undemocratic policy, and those at top plus the State Church are satisfied with the status quo, whilst thousands of Armenians go to other countries to find jobs at very low pays, without any social benefits… Diaspora headquarters find money to pay to lobbies, political candidates, conferences, social activities, but very little for the desperate Armenians, who cannot fill their bellies with empty propaganda words… So, let us guess and respect the brains and coordination between all Diaspora Organization teamsters, as explained in subject paper. There is no miraculous scissors to cut the wide and thick web, halting the movements of hesitant Turks who still cannot see the size and thickness of the web.. This is a war of propaganda and brainstorming to get results…Same way that Britain did with the Blue Book, or Morgenthau with his Story Book… What counts is not “who is just and what is true”, but who wins…and once you are the Victor, it is the victory that counts, not the means ! So, with all due respect, I have to compliment the achievements of Diaspora offices, without showing any cards or documents…


Once we visualize the progress in so many Parliaments, TV stations, newspapers and editorials, we must admit the hidden strength of the opposition and areas they conquered. What ASALA did, is already forgotten, not even one criminal has been ever punished by any Armenian authority! The ASALA assassins, have exceeded by far their fore fathers during WWI and make Hasan Sabbah (inventor of assassins) look like a dupe. World communities have been always sympathetic because :

(Guenther Lewy, p.144 ISBN: 0-87480-849-9) "The picture of the Muslims that the missionaries presented frequently, conformed to the centuries-old image of the Terrible Turk’, while Armenians were regularly depicted as innocent victims and Christian heroes who could do no wrong…. In the eyes of the missionaries, when Armenians used guns it was strictly for self-defense, while Turkish using force were usually described as engaged in murderous actions " ….

Christians never do anything wrong… all wrongs are done by Muslims only !

After these general introductory comments, you may note my short notes on some of the writings, as below:

# 1139: Mahmut E. Ozan’s article, as always is fully objective and informative. Yet, I wish to remind readers on the subject of Nazi-Armenians on followings:

a. http://armenians-1915.blogspot.com/2006/08/924-le-petit-journal.html covered the subject explicitly.

b. http://www.tallarmeniantale.com/ tallarmentiale http://www.tallarmeniantale.com/Nazi-Collaboration.htm Is another

perfect study with proofs on the same subject.

c. Readers must notice that the statement “attributed to Hitler” was another Andonian style fabrication, but introduced at

the most proper time to Nuremberg court (where it was rejected), which left serious impact on members of US Congress

and Senate, who cannot see that this fake document, served as a free pass to convert the ex-Nazi Armenians

which fought under German flag, easily and speedily into victim Russian Armenians who were admitted in USA (of course against certain fees) or legally smuggled, who joined the large Armenian community in USA.. So, that

fake statement saved Nazi Armenians and brought them safely into USA, again through their excellent arrangements explained in above readings!

d. For genuine U.S. business partnership of Bush Dynasty with Nazi Germany, below excerpt may be noted as a

sampler:

(Kevin Phillips, AMERICAN DYNASTY, Viking, ISBN; 0-670-03264-6)


"p.187

U.S. overseas investment didn’t end with Hitler’s accession to power. Capital continued to move to Germany during the 1930s under the Third Reich. Reports by the U.S. Commerce Department showed the U.S. investment in Germany increased by 48.5 percent between 1929 and 1940, while declining almost everywhere else in continental Europe.By 1939, many of these various units -manufacturing engines, armored chassis, and artificial rubber- were mainstays of the German war machine. As pricey, immobile assets that could not be repatriated, the large German subsidiaries were also important props of the valuations of many of the biggest U.S. companies. Instead of the obvious pro-A11ied economic self-interest of 1917, many major corporations faced a very different conundrum in 1939-41. Top executives and investment bankers uncertain about what they ought to do -or how they ought to take cover- hired lawyers like John Foster and Allen Dulles.


p.180 - 181

The Special Senate Committee on the Investigation of the Munitions Industry -perhaps unfairly nicknamed the “Merchants of Death” investigation- never got too deeply into the major 1933-34 surge of U.S. military exports to Hitler’s Germany. Although the committee chairman cited figures that exports to Germany by United Aircraft (Boeing Aircraft, Chance Vought, and Pratt and Whitney) had increased by 500 percent between 1933 and 1934, the State Department leaned on committee members to make no reference to secret reports about German rearmament. At any rate, no documentation exists for how many Remington-made weapons reached Germany through Dutch barge routes or Thyssen transport."

# 1138: Literature and Propaganda: Thanks again to Ara Baliozian, for his excellent satirical combing of realities in literary eloquence. I don’t know how many readers enjoy Ara’s balyoz hits on unspeakable topics.

I agree with him that there are too many Jack S. Avanakians, with whom we share this world in the loneliness of

being logical and reasonable; I hope that it was not his balyoz, who saved Erdogan by breaking his bulletproof car window. “That Balioz” is now sacred in Ankara, as an example of scientific perfection. (I hope that it does not get Ara in a similar trouble like Vahe experienced.)

# 1137: Vahe Avetian in Glendale: As Ara just said, he could have avoided the frustrations he had to face, if his name was to be Avanakian instead of Avetian… What ? You don’t agree? You… denialist criminal … etc...

# 1132: Matti Huuhtanen: What, 1.5 killed? Please refer to my Attachment POPULATION.

# 1133: France’s Sham: Chirac Apologizes by Ali Al Hail. Thanks for an outsider’s objective article. After all Chirac is no more than a Muppet of the Big Genocide Show, and he has to talk, to save the situation and confirm his cheap hypocrisy. Like Demirel said “Yesterday was yesterday” in Armenia, and in Paris it is a new day !

# 1134: Armenia and War; Lots of mumbo-jumbo words of slippery, talking a lot, saying nothing !

# 1135: Orhan Pamuk: Enough is enough…I plugged my ears with pamuk… (I wouldn’t be surprised if some time later he adopts another citizenship as well, to make his voice heard louder).

# 1131: Thanks to Russel Berman for his objectivity and preemptive obedience”, whereby France wants to

“criminalize doubt” about the status of killings or deaths. (There is plenty written evidence that there was relatively low killings caused by brigandry, within total number of deaths. Even reading only Armenian sources, it is not possible to say if the egg or hen was first in bilateral butcheries).

# 1128: Turk’s Low Influence: Even when those educated cannot be united in Turkey, how can we expect the working class people, who know and are told nothing to compete with diaspora masters…

# 1125: Patriarch Mesrob: Turkish citizens of all ethnicities are lucky to have such a balanced leader for the Turkish Armenian community, (He is frequently attacked by ANCA, AGBU or Hrant Dink because he does not obey Dashnak orders and protects his patriarchate real estates, some milked by Diaspora…)

# 1124: 90 articles on French Bill and BBC Steven Eke: Mass killing or bi-lateral butcheries in 1915 ?

Before EU can open their mouth about the illegal Armenian workers, let me ask them the followings: To get a Shengen visa as a businessman, I have to provide a very long list of documents including my properties, bank accounts, chamber of commerce registration, hotel reservation, invitation letter, etc, etc… and after you complete all and wait for 3-4 weeks to get a visa…can I exceed my duration of stay in any EU country beyond the period stamped on my passport? Or am I kicked out as if a criminal ? (Not all EU countries recognize that visa.) Compare this to an Armenian citizen who pays $ 10 to get an immediate stamp visa at the entry city.


He should go back in one month, maximum duration is 90 days. He stays for years, brings his family and the Barbarous Turks are so incapable that they cannot find and expel them like civilized EU countries do! ( I try not to make any transfers in any EU country… Just in case a flight is cancelled… You are enslaved in the airport over a wooden chair)… And we call this freedom and human rights! Kiss my …back!


Turkish State, did wrong by overlooking the “longer stay” of Armenians or Georgians, discriminating all other countries’ visitors, in the same status… Hence, a “wrong privilege has been already given, and an error done!” Now, to correct your “own error”, you cannot make another error (regardless how barbarous and cruel you are) and expel these poor persons, just because of what some Diaspora or French guys said! One mistake does not straighten out the other mistake, it just adds to two mistakes!

I hope that I proved to be a good reader at least…

Best regards to all, (from one who does not want to be nick named “Avanakian”)

Sukru S. Aya



-----------------------------



POPULATION : CONTROVERSY or MATHEMATICAL AVERAGE ?

The “opening code” of the whole genocide puzzle, of course relays to the number of people we are speaking about. As you will see from below figures, given estimates differ very much. However, looking to the “reliability and neutrality of the source”, readers are still have to make a guess. The most competent historian in demography is Justin McCarthy, but since he is “labeled as pro-Turk”, we will try to use other “general data” and reach to an estimate by logical “average”.

The “genocide balloon” may speak of 1.5 or even 2 million persons killed ! Is that possible? To start with let us see how many Armenians lived in the Ottoman Empire, how many of them were relocated, how many reached their destinations in 1915, but went back and forth, with Russian and French armies or immigrated, settled (Greek Islands, Cyprus, France, USA, Egypt, Palestine, Lebanon and heavily Russia).

Below are various estimates, made for “Christian Armenians living within Ottoman Empire” borders:

a. Kirkor Zohrab, estimate of Patriarchate 2.560.000 *

b. Armenian historian K.J. Basmachian 2.380.000 *

c. By Armenian delegation given to Paris conference in 1919 2.250.000 *

d. 30.12.1918 Given by Venizelos at Paris Conference, before war, 1914 2.100.000 *

Living in 1918 1.260.000 * (L.840.000)

e. 1895 – Francis de Presence 1.260.000

f. 1900 Tournbize 1.300.000

g. 1905 – Ottoman state census 1.294.851

h. 1912 - British BLUE BOOK! (Annual Register) 1.056.000

i. 1913 – L.D. Contenson 1.400.000

j. French Yellow Book (1.555.000) 1.475.000

k. Armenian Patriarch Ormanian 1.579.000

l. Lepsius 1.600.000

m. 1915 – Oct. p.329 Nat. Geographic (All area including Russia, Persia) 2.000.000

n. Grabill, p.51, All over the Empire in 1914 1.8 - 2.000.000

o. Zurcher, p.119-120 “Turkey” 1.500.000

p. 1918 – July, p.61, Nat.Geographic (Total Empire population. 18 millions) 2.000.000

r. Katchaznuni, living in 1920 (after emigration and losses) nearly 1.000.000

s. Armenian historian Lalaian – detailed, in Armenia only in 1918 885.000

1920 - 690.500

Deaths in Armenia under Dashnaks ( wars, starvation, epidemics) 195.000

t. Encyclopedia Britannica 1.500.000

u. Armenian historian Kevork Aslan 1.800.000

v. Revue de Paris 1.300.000

w. Arnold Toynbee’s book “Nationality and the War” 1915, written before

he joined Propaganda Division had indicated Armenian population as:

155.000 Tiblisi + 161.000 Constant. + 750.000 Russian provinces Erivan

Nakchivan, Kars, Alexandropol, Shura + 600.000 Turkish 6-provinces = 1.511.000

(Above figures exclude those in relief camps, or who went back or to other countries or lived

undisturbed in other parts of Western Turkey and large cities)

The readers or researchers who do not want to use Justin McCarthy’s head-count figures, must make a guess or take an average, between lowest 1 million and highest 2 millions, and estimate that the total number of Ottoman Armenians, within the large borders of 1914 should be 1.5 million, with a plus/minus margin of say not more than 10% …

Readers are reminded that the figures marked (*) were somewhat inflated by Armenians just before the Paris Conference, “to justify that they are crowded enough to fill up the huge land they were expecting from Black Sea down to the Mediterranean. One of the reliable sources would be the British Blue Book, written based on the reports of the American Missionaries, plus their own Consuls spread throughout Ottoman Empire, down to cities with only say 20.000 population. It will be a paradox, to expect the British reduce the numbers, for any advantage or arguments in favor of Turks. Statistics show, that the Armenian population in the areas they named Turkish Armenia, was no more than 20% of all people.

According to Turkish statistics, out of the total 1.300.000, the number that lived in the subject six provinces, was 628.000. But according to the Istanbul Armenian Patriarchate’s later declaration total number was 2.100.000, out of which 1.018.000 lived in subject provinces. The difference is 390.000. Armenians claimed they formed 38% of the population in the area; Turks claim that it was not even 20% and even in one or two cities (Van, Erzurum) where Armenians concentrated, they still were well under the average.

Discrepancies exist even for population of Istanbul, where counting should have been easier.

- Edwin Grosvenor indicates in his explicit book of 1877, Armenians in Istanbul only 165.000

- Memorandum given to Paris Conference in 1919, shows (Istanbul + Izmir + Syria) 230.000

- 1913 Armenian Patriarchate figure for Istanbul Armenians 163.670

- Estimate of British Officers on spot after occupation of Istanbul, in 1920 83.000

Excerpts from Guenther Lewy’s book: (p.145)

“….Some recipients of this information were aware of the Levantine tendency to exaggerate and therefore realized that not everything that was told to them by their Armenian informants, could be regarded as the complete truth. In a report on Armenian deaths dated Sept. 23, 1913 the British consul in Erzurum noted “the Armenian tendency to blatant exaggeration

… According to Arnold Toynbee, “Oriental arithmetic is notoriously inexact” and there is much “unconscious exaggeration” and “purposeful misinterpretation”.

… Bergfeld noted that the most fantastic accusations against the Turks had become highly popular in the twon. However, as the stories about the masses of corpses in the river became ever more frequent and hardened into definite assertions, he decided to check out their veracity. On July 17, accompanied by the American consul as a neutral witness, he rode for four hours along the river, but found only one dead body. Inasmuch as the river contained very little water and was split into numerous small and shallow branches, he concluded that it would have been quite impossible for a large quantity of corpses to be carried by the river and swept out to sea. In the meantime news also received that the first group of deportees had reached Erzinjan without losing a single person. Bergfeld served in Turkey for eight year and spoke Turkish language. His creditability is enhanced by his documented… “

The second phase of the controversy, is the number of Armenians living in the six-vilayets who were relocated to Southern parts of the Empire (Zor district in Syria), considering the fact that many Armenians in key employments or professions (doctors, pharmacists, important artisans etc.) were excluded, and in early summer of 1915, those who were Protestant and Catholic too were exempted.

Whilst there were many Armenians fighting in many volunteer gangs or brigades against Turks, there were other Armenians fighting alongside Turks at Dardanelles, or handling the correspondence in the army cipher sections, because “they only, could speak other languages”.

We have to make another guess regarding the number of Armenians (Turks were also relocated but without any provisions) relocated from the subject six-vilayets to Syria overland.

Yusuf Halacoglu, head of the Turkish Historical Society, based on archive records, gives the figure

of 438.758 who were relocated. Those who traveled by train from Cilicia region, were never attacked.

Few columns from other districts traveling overland on foot or ox-carts, were in some cases attacked by Circassian and Kurdish brigands, mostly in retaliation of what Armenians gangs had done to them.

Some provisory gendarmes (the good ones were in the fighting army) performed well, whilst others were unwilling or unable to risk their lives to protect the columns they were guarding. Many of them were later put on trial and some punished by the Army. Yusuf Halacoglu gives the number of about 60.000 persons who died because of hardships, fatigue, starvation, widespread epidemics such as typhus, which is about 15% of the moved people. The relocation law was to be implemented by respective Provinces, and the results depended on the capacity, financial and manpower means of each governor.

Bearing in mind that the whole country was suffering epidemics and shortage of food, even the army fighting in three fronts (plus internal against Armenian fifth columns) were deprived of clothing, footware and provisions the province governors were experimenting such a large scale movement for the first time, with no additional staff but very little extra allowances. Imaginable dramatic conditions, (shortage + incapacity + inability) cannot be classified as an “intended annihilation”. Just a few months earlier in January, 80.000 soldiers starved, froze to death on the Russian front, because of imprudence. Did things improve in 3 months ?

According to German army records, their loss of soldiers because of epidemics and shortages was about 10% of the total force, dying in the rear lines. Even their commander in chief died of typhus.

The situation with the Turkish army, was reported to be much worse, due to lack of sanitary means and personnel, poor clothing and less than one third of the daily food ration. Death in Turkish armies, in the rear lines, was said to be close to 30%.

Now let us see what others said about the number of deported-relocated people.

a- A British memorandum on “relief needs” dated Oct. 30, 1918 speaks of deportation of “over 1 million”.

b- Cypriot historian Sonyel gives this figure as 800.000 deported.

c- Raymond Kevorkian speaks of 870.000 deported to Syria.

d- Boghos Nubar head of Paris delegation, states in 1918 that the number was 600 – 700.000

e- British Foreign Office, Geographical Section, indicated the total living population in subject provinces

(Erzurum, Sivas, Diyarbakir, Harput, Van, Bitlis) as 3.601.075 of which 665.815 were Armenians and

2.687.748 Muslims, rest Greek, Nestorian and others.

Under these figures, how French Parliament and others, plus some ignorant writers or historians can speak of 1.5 millions killed in the process of relocation, is a most stupid claim, with nothing to do with historical scholarship or minimal arithmetic. May be above excerpt of Guenther Lewy and report of Bergfeld, explains that the habit of “blatant exaggeration” succeeds and convinces dummies…

The third and most important controversy, is about the Armenians who survived, reached safely destinations, some settled and started new business, some went back after the surrender of the Ottoman Empire in 1918.

Again, we have different sources and records, which can be classified as below.

a - The most important and reliable document is the letter of American Consul J.B. Jackson, one of the

most bigoted men from consular pool, dated Feb.8, 1916 in which he gives a broken down list of

survivors in ten main cities, reporting to ambassador Morgenthau that a total of 486.000 are alive.

b - Another very reliable source is the report of Dr. F. Nansen, head of the “League of Nations

Emigrants Committee” who according to Akabian’s book (p.253) was giving below breakdown:

* Emigrated from Turkey to Russian Armenia and Caucasus 400.000

* Refugees who fled abroad 400 or 300.000 min. 300.000

* Living in Istanbul, Izmir, Syria (Venizelos report Paris Confer.) 230.000

* Remaining cities of Anatolia ( ) 150.000

Total number of living persons according to Armenian sources –1919 1.080.000

Note: We have various confirmations that 150.000 Armenians went back to Cilicia when occupied by France

and their special Battalion D’Orient – (see other chapters) committed atrocities. However, after the French

agreement with Kemalist Turks in 1920, and French evacuation of the “internal war areas” in these provinces,

150.000 Armenians (few Greeks) left with the French Armies causing an economic vacuum. (Grabill p.260)

c - Katchaznuni, in his manifest of 1923 spoke that nearly One Million Armenians were alive in 1918 prior

to evacuation of 1917 by Russians after Revolution, and founding of their short lived Republic

d - Historian Lalaian in separate excerpts speaks of 885.000 Armenians alive (in those areas only) and

that by 1920, they lost 195.000 lives because of starvations and bad management of the Dashnaks

e - 880.000 reported to Paris Conference by Venizelos (Boghos Nubar’s claim) as living in 1919 in area

f - Akaby Nassibian gives other breakdowns as follows in her book: (p.249, 253,211,72)

- According to joint British Arm. Relief committee: Greece – Syria – Palestine – Caucasus 750.000

- Immigrated to Russia from Turkey, 310.000 or 400.000 other source says 500.000

- Fled to other countries 350.000

- In Egypt waiting acceptance 5.00, at Basra for transport 14.000 14.000

g - James Barton, (head of American Board of Foreign Missionaries and Relief Organization) reported to the

Paris Conference in April 1919 that 100.000 Armenian refugees in Aleppo and Damascus were waiting to

return to their homes. Stanley Kerr, an American Relief Official wrote that 170.000 of these were eventually

repatriated.

h - George Montgomery, an American official at the Paris conference, gave a detailed tabulation of Armenians

alive in Turkey in 1919, which amounted to 594.000 + 450.000 in Caucasus + 60.000 in Persia = 1.104.000

Total (Apart from those in other countries or immigrated)

i - German Missionary J. Lepsius, arrives to a total of 948.500 or rather 1.108.000 survivors in 1921. Including

those in Caucasus – Armenia, Palestine, Arab lands under British-French mandate and by 1925 more than

30.000 had emigrated to France and about 100.000 to USA.

j - According to Caleb F. Gates, president of Robert Collage, the Armenian population statistics in January

1921, as confirmed by the Armenian Patriarchate, was as follows: Armenians in Ottoman province,

approximately 600.000; Armenians alive: 944.900; Armenian total losses: 355.000.

Naturally, Armenians (although they received 98% of all relief supplies – guarded by Turkish soldiers when within borders of the Empire- were not immune to epidemics and starvations,(which swept out some 20% of population in areas where there was no war) and like over 500.000 Muslims who died in inter communal wars, exiles, epidemics, starvations, they too suffered. Death made no selection. It will be very improper, to count these deaths as “massacred by Turkish armies” and declare Armenian race “importal” (much that they claim to be of noble Arian race). Let us not forget that more than half of the people returned to their homes after mid 1915 when deportations were stopped and in larger numbers with the advance of Allied forces after Ottomans lost the war. Those coming back from Russia, had to go back when Kemalist forces took control over the area and Republic of Armenia had to surrender in 1920 with the treaty of Gumru. It is not known, how many people took these hard long trips by ox-carts or on foot back and forth, but it is not difficult to guess that some 30% of the traveling or camped people died, like others. We understand that almost 200.000 died within two years in Caucasus under the rule of Armenian Republic, and of course those are counted as “massacred by Turks” as well.

Looking at above people alive before 1914, those who were moved and those who survived until 1920, we can take a guess that at least some 200.000 Turkish Armenians living in subject six provinces died of various natural causes (may be some 30 – 40.000 killed in bi-lateral butcheries). The Ottoman State ruling at that time, (fighting wars on three fronts against super powers for the very existence) may be found “guilty of being unable to provide proper means during the relocation process”. But those who make an assessment of “massacre or genocide” fail to remember that it was the same government who lost 80.000 of their 90.000 army in less than two weeks on the Russian front, because of deprivations and lack of management and prudence, and that this disaster was mainly caused by the sudden and unexpected resistance put by the Armenian Volunteer forces fighting for Russians, which the Ottomans “naively thought in August 1914 Erzurum Congress of Dashnaks” that they will fight on the side of Turks against the gift of “autonomy promised in the long wanted six provinces”. The refusal of that generous offer, was the first breakpoint, the Sarikamish disaster caused by Armenian resistance was the second breakpoint, the Van Revolt in March-April was the third breakpoint, and with the landing of ANZAC forces in late April in Dardanelles, attack in the South Suez front, and Russian advance, plus the fifth column activities of some 25.000 – 40.000 volunteer units, the Ottomans had every justification to push out “all people” from fighting areas, and had no time, chance, will, or reason to sort out the wet and dry fire wood. This is “my evaluation”. The readers may make their own evaluations considering the authenticity of above given reference sources, which apparently the “slanderers never look at”. No one speaks of the Sarikamish disaster experienced just very few months earlier, and draw a parallelism ! The condition of the soldiers in attack, was much worse than the conditions and supplies to relocated caravans. Why no one holds Britain and French blockade of all ports for starvations, considering the fact that they “let the relief goods go through blockades”.

26.10.06

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